Current Events

 Event AOL-Time Warner Merger
Background On 10th January 2000 AOL and Time Warner (TW) announced that they would merge in a $183 billion deal. AOL was the dominant party.
Analysis
(to offer your own analysis go to the 'Current Events' section of theWorkshop zone)
1. AOL needed: broadband access to residential customers (TW is the second largest cable owner in the US after AT&T); enriched content to differentiate its services from ISPs providing free access; effective marketing and advertising of its services.

2. Time Warner needed an effective presence in the new media possibilities created by the internet.

3. The merged company is based on a vertical integration business model.
Implications for Layer Structure (see Industry Mapping for the layer model). 1. The merger demonstrates the importance of content in the process of competition in the services layers, particularly Layer V. (Nearly 40% of the time all Americans spend on the Web is currently spent within AOL's 'walled garden' of content and services. The Economist 15/1/2000, p25).

2. It also shows the importance of broadband access to residential customers, presently a bottleneck. AOL previously sold its networks to WorldCom. Now, AOL, primarily operating in Layer V, is 'integrating backwards' into Layer II to get this accesss, representing an increase in vertical integration.

3. It suggests it is insufficient for a firm to specialise only in Layer III; competition is likely to force it to move into Layer V and/or Layer II.
Implications for Key Questions. 1. The merger may seem to suggest that there is no future for specialist facilities-less service providers (since a key motive for AOL was to get broadband cable access to residential customers). However, the picture would change if at least some of the alternative local access technologies blossom, i.e. DSL over copper cable, radio access (fixed and mobile cellular), satellite, power line (electricity cables). If they do, it is possible that an efficient market in broadband access capacity could emerge implying that Layer V firms could buy whatever broadband access they need on spot and future markets rather than owning and controlling their own networks. Vertical specialisation would increase.

2. It suggests that the creation, packaging, branding and marketing of content may be as much subject to economies of scale and scope as the network layer.

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